Tuesday, April 13, 2010
AUD/USD Hourly Chart
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The AUD/USD is setting up to form a nice Head and Shoulders pattern on the hourly. I will be looking to get short from 0.93 with a stop at 0.9390. Once the neckline is broken the target will be 0.9060, however my longer term ED count for the AUD/USD would have 0.90 as a likely target.
Click Here to access Roy's Latest Video
For a free copy of Robert Balan's Elliott Wave Principle Applied to the Foreign Exchange Markets - Click Here.
Purple denotes a change made after my initial analysis
N.B. Several people have questioned me about my terrible performance in February. Those losses were due to lack of money management skills, not bad analysis. See my early March postings for a more details about those problems, and what I have been doing to fix them.
Market Predictions based on Elliott Wave Theory and Traditional Technical Analysis
For a free copy of Robert Balan's Elliott Wave Principle Applied to the Foreign Exchange Markets - Click Here.
This Month's Positions
| Aug | Unit | L/S | Entry | Stop | Target | Pips | ||
| 24 | SPX | S | 1055 | 1064 | 670 | -9 | ||
| 24 | NZ/US | S | 0.715 | 0.74 | 0.68 | Active | ||
| 1 | SPX | S | 1125 | 1064 | 670 | +61 | ||
- Jared
- Brisbane, Queensland, Australia
- I have been using Elliott Wave Theory for several years now and use it in combination with traditional technical analysis methods to assist me with my trading. My main focus is on currency analysis (FX) however I also analyze commodities and equity markets for their correlational importance. You can reach me on email at ewforex(at)gmail(dot)com.
Blog Archive
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2010
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April
(27)
- NZD/USD Daily
- SPX Video Analysis
- Still My Favourite EUR/USD Count
- EUR/GBP Trade Idea
- AUD/JPY Update
- Another USD/JPY Possibility
- GBP/USD Update
- AUD/JPY Hourly
- GBP/USD Daily Chart
- USD/CAD Trade Plan
- Facebook Forum Group
- AUD/USD Hourly Chart
- USD/JPY Hourly Chart Update
- EUR/USD Daily Chart Possibilities
- USD/JPY 5 Minute Chart
- USD/CAD 4 Hour Impulse Down Looks Complete
- USD/JPY Still Correcting
- AUD/JPY Hourly Chart
- AUD/USD Daily Chart
- Using Elliott Wave to Count Complex Corrections
- Game On USD/JPY!
- AUD/JPY Refresh
- Friday 2nd April Position Updates
- New Elliott Wave Video Analysis
- USD/JPY Update
- USD/JPY Nearing Former Resistance
- In Depth Elliott Wave Analysis Video
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April
(27)
Trade Results For 2010
| Aug | Unit | L/S | Entry | Stop | Target | Pips | ||
| 28 | GB/US | S | 1.595 | 1.62 | 1.40 | +70 | ||
| 27 | SPX | S | 1120 | 1114 | TBD | +6 | ||
| 22 | SPX | S | 1082 | 1078 | TBD | +4 | ||
| 16 | SPX | S | 1072 | 1063.3 | TBD | +8.7 | ||
| 8 | AU/JP | L | 76.9 | 77.1 | TBD | +0.2 | ||
| 6 | NZ/US | S | 0.70 | 0.716 | TBD | -160 | ||
| 1/7 | SPX | S | 1035 | 1033 | TBD | +2 |
| Jun | Unit | L/S | Entry | Stop | Target | Pips | ||
| 22 | EU/US | S | 1.2345 | 1.2292 | TBD | +53 | ||
| 9 | SPX | L | 1056 | 1063.3 | 1068 | +12 | ||
| 7 | SPX | S | 1071 | 1106 | 1050 | +21 | ||
| 1 | EU/US | L | 1.224 | 1.215 | 1.265 | -90 |
| May | Unit | L/S | Entry | Stop | Target | Pips | ||
| 26 | US/CH | S | 1.158 | 1.165 | TBD | -70 | ||
| 25 | EU/US | L | 1.2275 | 1.226 | 1.28 | -15 | ||
| 21 | EU/US | L | 1.232 | 1.246 | 1.273 | +235 | ||
| 13 | US/JP | S | 93.50 | 90.96 | 82.00 | +254 | ||
| 12 | AU/JP | S | 83.5 | 84 | TBD | +60 | ||
| 11 | EU/US | S | 1.299 | 1.31 | 1.20 | +230 | ||
| 6 | SPX | S | 1160 | 1205 | 1150 | +10 |
| Apr | Unit | L/S | Entry | Stop | Target | Pips | ||
| 29 | NZ/US | S | 0.73 | 0.715 | TBD | +400 | ||
| 23 | AU/US | L | 0.922 | 0.929 | TBD | +70 | ||
| 21 | EU/GB | L | 0.871 | 0.86 | TBD | -110 | ||
| 16 | AU/JP | S | 0.854 | 0.86 | 0.84 | +140 | ||
| 15 | US/CA | L | 0.997 | 1.006 | 1.035 | +90 | ||
| 13 | AU/US | S | 0.930 | 0.9285 | 0.901 | +15 | ||
| 12 | EU/US | S | 1.366 | 1.365 | TBD | +50 | ||
| 10 | EU/US | S | 1.345 | 1.35 | TBD | -50 | ||
| 10 | US/JP | L | 93.20 | 93.315 | 95.50 | +11 | ||
| 9 | US/CA | L | 1.003 | 1.004 | 1.03 | +30 | ||
| 2 | US/JP | S | 94.40 | 95.50 | 92.70 | +100 |
| Mar | Unit | L/S | Entry | Stop | Target | Pips | ||
| 31 | GB/JP | S | 143.50 | 145.50 | 110 | +50 | ||
| 26 | AU/JP | S | 85.45 | 86.25 | TBD | -80 | ||
| 24 | EU/JP | S | 122.65 | 123.20 | 119.80 | -50 | ||
| 18 | CA/JP | S | 89.70 | 88.90 | 83.2 | +80 | ||
| 17 | CA/JP | S | 89.50 | 90.60 | TBD | +30 | ||
| 17 | EU/GB | S | 0.905 | 0.9075 | 0.8980 | +70 | ||
| 11 | GB/US | S | 1.5105 | 1.52 | TBD | -40 | ||
| 8 | US/JP | L | 89.80 | 89.25 | 90.40 | +60 | ||
| 3 | EU/US | S | 1.365 | 1.372 | TBD | -70 | ||
| 2 | EU/US | S | 1.357 | 1.36 | 1.339 | -30 | ||
| 2 | EU/US | L | 1.349 | 1.344 | 1.356 | +70 | ||
| 1 | EU/GB | L | 1.3595 | 1.3575 | TBD | -20 | ||
| 1 | GB/EU | L | 1.4965 | 1.49 | TBD | -65 | ||
| 1 | EU/US | S | 1.3650 | 1.3685 | 1.3595 | +55 |
| Feb | Unit | L/S | Entry | Stop | Target | Pips | ||
| 27 | EU/US | S | 1.366 | 1.372 | 1.3595 | +65 | ||
| 27 | EU/US | L | 1.357 | 1.355 | 1.366 | +90 | ||
| 26 | EU/GB | S | 0.89 | 0.915 | TBD | -250 | ||
| 25 | US/CA | L | 1.055 | 1.052 | 1.065 | +100 | ||
| 23 | AU/US | S | 0.902 | 0.907 | 0.888 | +140 | ||
| 23 | AU/US | L | 0.901 | 0.904 | 0.9125 | +30 | ||
| 21 | EU/GB | S | 0.881 | 0.886 | 0.858 | -50 | ||
| 15 | Gold | S | 1100 | 1125 | TBD | -25 | ||
| 12 | US/JP | S | 90.30 | 91.30 | 87.50 | -100 | ||
| 10 | AU/JP | S | 77.95 | 81.5 | TBD | -355 | ||
| 9 | US/CA | L | 1.071 | 1.025 | TBD | -460 | ||
| 9 | Gold | L | 1066 | 1062 | 1075 | +9 | ||
| 8 | US/CA | S | 1.071 | 1.077 | 1.055 | -60 | ||
| 8 | GB/JP | S | 139.5 | 143 | TBD | -350 | ||
| 8 | EU/GB | S | 0.8775 | 0.8855 | 0.868 | +95 | ||
| 8 | Gold | S | 1075 | 1125 | 1060 | +15 | ||
| 8 | EU/US | L | 1.364 | 1.3685 | 1.3755 | +91 | ||
| 5 | US/JP | S | 90.30 | 90.10 | 88.3 | +20 | ||
| Jan | Unit | L/S | Entry | Stop | Target | Pips | ||
| 29 | EU/GB | L | 0.865 | 0.869 | 0.873 | +80 | ||
| 29 | US/JP | L | 89.7 | 89.20 | 90.45 | +75 | ||
| 25 | US/JP | L | 90 | 89.20 | 90.45 | +45 | ||
| 22 | US/JP | L | 90.15 | 90.15 | TBD | S/O | ||
| 22 | AU/US | S | 0.9135 | 0.918 | 0.903 | +105 | ||
| 21 | US/JP | S | 91.80 | 92.50 | 90.2 | +160 | ||
| 21 | US/JP | L | 91 | 90.3 | 91.8 | +80 | ||
| 19 | AU/US | S | 0.925 | 0.933 | 0.91 | +150 | ||
| 19 | Gold | S | 1138 | 1147 | 1104 | +34 | ||
| 16 | EU/GB | S | 0.887 | 0.903 | TBD | Exp | ||
| 14 | EU/US | S | 1.454 | 1.4447 | TBD | +93 | ||
| 07 | US/JP | S | 93.65 | 93.35 | 92.95 | +30 | ||
| 05 | US/JP | S | 92.5 | 92.5 | 90 | S/O | ||
| 04 | EU/US | S | 1.445 | 1.4485 | 1.41 | -35 | ||
| 04 | AU/US | S | 0.91 | 0.92 | 0.85 | -100 |
N.B. Several people have questioned me about my terrible performance in February. Those losses were due to lack of money management skills, not bad analysis. See my early March postings for a more details about those problems, and what I have been doing to fix them.
Hello: I see this pattern too in the four hours timeframe, but now I think is too much extended and I am seeing the dollar very weak with respect to another pairs.
ReplyDeleteI want to say what your blog is very readable and very good!!
Yeah I know what you mean but until a new high is reached there is still hope. The clear 5 waves down on USD/CAD from 1.078 point to some coming dollar strength, however the AUD/USD is not so clear. Thank you for the compliment about my blog I'm glad you find it useful.
ReplyDelete