Friday, May 7, 2010
AUD/USD Daily
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My AUD/USD count is similar to my AUD/JPY count in the fact that I think we are about to drop in a wave 5 of 1 down. As long as the USD remains weak against the Yen however, it is a better idea to trade the AUD/JPY than this pair. As you can seen resistance at 94 was too strong for the Aussie to break through and price has fallen off sharply in what looks to be an impulsive third wave. If equities remain weak expect the AUD/USD to as well.
Click Here to access Roy's Latest Video
For a free copy of Robert Balan's Elliott Wave Principle Applied to the Foreign Exchange Markets - Click Here.
Purple denotes a change made after my initial analysis
N.B. Several people have questioned me about my terrible performance in February. Those losses were due to lack of money management skills, not bad analysis. See my early March postings for a more details about those problems, and what I have been doing to fix them.
Market Predictions based on Elliott Wave Theory and Traditional Technical Analysis
For a free copy of Robert Balan's Elliott Wave Principle Applied to the Foreign Exchange Markets - Click Here.
This Month's Positions
| Aug | Unit | L/S | Entry | Stop | Target | Pips | ||
| 24 | SPX | S | 1055 | 1064 | 670 | -9 | ||
| 24 | NZ/US | S | 0.715 | 0.74 | 0.68 | Active | ||
| 1 | SPX | S | 1125 | 1064 | 670 | +61 | ||
- Jared
- Brisbane, Queensland, Australia
- I have been using Elliott Wave Theory for several years now and use it in combination with traditional technical analysis methods to assist me with my trading. My main focus is on currency analysis (FX) however I also analyze commodities and equity markets for their correlational importance. You can reach me on email at ewforex(at)gmail(dot)com.
Blog Archive
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2010
(165)
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May
(22)
- EUR/USD Possibilities
- SPX Video Analysis
- AUD/USD Could Be Topping
- Clear Impulse Down on the USD/CHF
- EUR/USD Hourly Chart
- May 22nd Elliott Wave Analysis Video
- EUR/USD Inverse Head and Shoulders Reversal
- SPX and DAX Video Analysis
- USD/JPY 30 Minute Chart
- SPX Fibonacci Confluence Zone at 1155
- SPX Elliott Wave Video Analysis
- SPX Wave 2 Looks to have Topped
- SPX Update
- USD/JPY Ending Diagonal 30 Minute Chart
- Covering My Short Positions
- SPX 30 Minute Chart Update
- EUR/USD 15 Minute Chart
- SPX500 Hourly
- AUD/USD Daily
- AUD/JPY Hourly
- CAD/JPY Daily Update
- SPX Head and Shoulders Neckline Breach
-
▼
May
(22)
Trade Results For 2010
| Aug | Unit | L/S | Entry | Stop | Target | Pips | ||
| 28 | GB/US | S | 1.595 | 1.62 | 1.40 | +70 | ||
| 27 | SPX | S | 1120 | 1114 | TBD | +6 | ||
| 22 | SPX | S | 1082 | 1078 | TBD | +4 | ||
| 16 | SPX | S | 1072 | 1063.3 | TBD | +8.7 | ||
| 8 | AU/JP | L | 76.9 | 77.1 | TBD | +0.2 | ||
| 6 | NZ/US | S | 0.70 | 0.716 | TBD | -160 | ||
| 1/7 | SPX | S | 1035 | 1033 | TBD | +2 |
| Jun | Unit | L/S | Entry | Stop | Target | Pips | ||
| 22 | EU/US | S | 1.2345 | 1.2292 | TBD | +53 | ||
| 9 | SPX | L | 1056 | 1063.3 | 1068 | +12 | ||
| 7 | SPX | S | 1071 | 1106 | 1050 | +21 | ||
| 1 | EU/US | L | 1.224 | 1.215 | 1.265 | -90 |
| May | Unit | L/S | Entry | Stop | Target | Pips | ||
| 26 | US/CH | S | 1.158 | 1.165 | TBD | -70 | ||
| 25 | EU/US | L | 1.2275 | 1.226 | 1.28 | -15 | ||
| 21 | EU/US | L | 1.232 | 1.246 | 1.273 | +235 | ||
| 13 | US/JP | S | 93.50 | 90.96 | 82.00 | +254 | ||
| 12 | AU/JP | S | 83.5 | 84 | TBD | +60 | ||
| 11 | EU/US | S | 1.299 | 1.31 | 1.20 | +230 | ||
| 6 | SPX | S | 1160 | 1205 | 1150 | +10 |
| Apr | Unit | L/S | Entry | Stop | Target | Pips | ||
| 29 | NZ/US | S | 0.73 | 0.715 | TBD | +400 | ||
| 23 | AU/US | L | 0.922 | 0.929 | TBD | +70 | ||
| 21 | EU/GB | L | 0.871 | 0.86 | TBD | -110 | ||
| 16 | AU/JP | S | 0.854 | 0.86 | 0.84 | +140 | ||
| 15 | US/CA | L | 0.997 | 1.006 | 1.035 | +90 | ||
| 13 | AU/US | S | 0.930 | 0.9285 | 0.901 | +15 | ||
| 12 | EU/US | S | 1.366 | 1.365 | TBD | +50 | ||
| 10 | EU/US | S | 1.345 | 1.35 | TBD | -50 | ||
| 10 | US/JP | L | 93.20 | 93.315 | 95.50 | +11 | ||
| 9 | US/CA | L | 1.003 | 1.004 | 1.03 | +30 | ||
| 2 | US/JP | S | 94.40 | 95.50 | 92.70 | +100 |
| Mar | Unit | L/S | Entry | Stop | Target | Pips | ||
| 31 | GB/JP | S | 143.50 | 145.50 | 110 | +50 | ||
| 26 | AU/JP | S | 85.45 | 86.25 | TBD | -80 | ||
| 24 | EU/JP | S | 122.65 | 123.20 | 119.80 | -50 | ||
| 18 | CA/JP | S | 89.70 | 88.90 | 83.2 | +80 | ||
| 17 | CA/JP | S | 89.50 | 90.60 | TBD | +30 | ||
| 17 | EU/GB | S | 0.905 | 0.9075 | 0.8980 | +70 | ||
| 11 | GB/US | S | 1.5105 | 1.52 | TBD | -40 | ||
| 8 | US/JP | L | 89.80 | 89.25 | 90.40 | +60 | ||
| 3 | EU/US | S | 1.365 | 1.372 | TBD | -70 | ||
| 2 | EU/US | S | 1.357 | 1.36 | 1.339 | -30 | ||
| 2 | EU/US | L | 1.349 | 1.344 | 1.356 | +70 | ||
| 1 | EU/GB | L | 1.3595 | 1.3575 | TBD | -20 | ||
| 1 | GB/EU | L | 1.4965 | 1.49 | TBD | -65 | ||
| 1 | EU/US | S | 1.3650 | 1.3685 | 1.3595 | +55 |
| Feb | Unit | L/S | Entry | Stop | Target | Pips | ||
| 27 | EU/US | S | 1.366 | 1.372 | 1.3595 | +65 | ||
| 27 | EU/US | L | 1.357 | 1.355 | 1.366 | +90 | ||
| 26 | EU/GB | S | 0.89 | 0.915 | TBD | -250 | ||
| 25 | US/CA | L | 1.055 | 1.052 | 1.065 | +100 | ||
| 23 | AU/US | S | 0.902 | 0.907 | 0.888 | +140 | ||
| 23 | AU/US | L | 0.901 | 0.904 | 0.9125 | +30 | ||
| 21 | EU/GB | S | 0.881 | 0.886 | 0.858 | -50 | ||
| 15 | Gold | S | 1100 | 1125 | TBD | -25 | ||
| 12 | US/JP | S | 90.30 | 91.30 | 87.50 | -100 | ||
| 10 | AU/JP | S | 77.95 | 81.5 | TBD | -355 | ||
| 9 | US/CA | L | 1.071 | 1.025 | TBD | -460 | ||
| 9 | Gold | L | 1066 | 1062 | 1075 | +9 | ||
| 8 | US/CA | S | 1.071 | 1.077 | 1.055 | -60 | ||
| 8 | GB/JP | S | 139.5 | 143 | TBD | -350 | ||
| 8 | EU/GB | S | 0.8775 | 0.8855 | 0.868 | +95 | ||
| 8 | Gold | S | 1075 | 1125 | 1060 | +15 | ||
| 8 | EU/US | L | 1.364 | 1.3685 | 1.3755 | +91 | ||
| 5 | US/JP | S | 90.30 | 90.10 | 88.3 | +20 | ||
| Jan | Unit | L/S | Entry | Stop | Target | Pips | ||
| 29 | EU/GB | L | 0.865 | 0.869 | 0.873 | +80 | ||
| 29 | US/JP | L | 89.7 | 89.20 | 90.45 | +75 | ||
| 25 | US/JP | L | 90 | 89.20 | 90.45 | +45 | ||
| 22 | US/JP | L | 90.15 | 90.15 | TBD | S/O | ||
| 22 | AU/US | S | 0.9135 | 0.918 | 0.903 | +105 | ||
| 21 | US/JP | S | 91.80 | 92.50 | 90.2 | +160 | ||
| 21 | US/JP | L | 91 | 90.3 | 91.8 | +80 | ||
| 19 | AU/US | S | 0.925 | 0.933 | 0.91 | +150 | ||
| 19 | Gold | S | 1138 | 1147 | 1104 | +34 | ||
| 16 | EU/GB | S | 0.887 | 0.903 | TBD | Exp | ||
| 14 | EU/US | S | 1.454 | 1.4447 | TBD | +93 | ||
| 07 | US/JP | S | 93.65 | 93.35 | 92.95 | +30 | ||
| 05 | US/JP | S | 92.5 | 92.5 | 90 | S/O | ||
| 04 | EU/US | S | 1.445 | 1.4485 | 1.41 | -35 | ||
| 04 | AU/US | S | 0.91 | 0.92 | 0.85 | -100 |
N.B. Several people have questioned me about my terrible performance in February. Those losses were due to lack of money management skills, not bad analysis. See my early March postings for a more details about those problems, and what I have been doing to fix them.
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