Tuesday, March 16, 2010
USD/JPY 4 Hour Update
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Here is a 4 Hour Chart of my USD/JPY count. I think there will likely be one more push higher to complete an Ending Diagonal c of B of the triple 3 correction before a final C leg begins. As I have mentioned in previous postings, expect resistance from the downward sloping trend line off the two recent highs. 91.60 is also the 61.8% Fib of the entire consolidative drop from 93.77.
Click Here to access Roy's Latest Video
For a free copy of Robert Balan's Elliott Wave Principle Applied to the Foreign Exchange Markets - Click Here.
Purple denotes a change made after my initial analysis
N.B. Several people have questioned me about my terrible performance in February. Those losses were due to lack of money management skills, not bad analysis. See my early March postings for a more details about those problems, and what I have been doing to fix them.
Market Predictions based on Elliott Wave Theory and Traditional Technical Analysis
For a free copy of Robert Balan's Elliott Wave Principle Applied to the Foreign Exchange Markets - Click Here.
This Month's Positions
| Aug | Unit | L/S | Entry | Stop | Target | Pips | ||
| 24 | SPX | S | 1055 | 1064 | 670 | -9 | ||
| 24 | NZ/US | S | 0.715 | 0.74 | 0.68 | Active | ||
| 1 | SPX | S | 1125 | 1064 | 670 | +61 | ||
- Jared
- Brisbane, Queensland, Australia
- I have been using Elliott Wave Theory for several years now and use it in combination with traditional technical analysis methods to assist me with my trading. My main focus is on currency analysis (FX) however I also analyze commodities and equity markets for their correlational importance. You can reach me on email at ewforex(at)gmail(dot)com.
Blog Archive
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2010
(165)
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March
(21)
- GBP/JPY Trade Idea
- USD/CAD Trade Idea
- GBP/JPY Nearing Daily Resistance
- AUD/JPY Trade Idea
- EUR/JPY Hourly
- CAD/JPY Update
- CAD/JPY Trade Idea
- USD/JPY 4 Hour Update
- USD/JPY Facing Strong Resistance at 91.30
- GBP/USD Update
- GBP/USD Hourly Chart
- CAD/JPY Charts
- USD/JPY 15 Minute Chart
- AUD/JPY 4 Hour Chart
- EUR/USD Double Zig-zag
- The EUR/USD has bottomed
- Range Bound EUR/USD
- A Different EUR/USD ED Count
- USDX Ending Diagonal Update
- EUR/USD Update
- EUR/USD Hourly Chart ED
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▼
March
(21)
Trade Results For 2010
| Aug | Unit | L/S | Entry | Stop | Target | Pips | ||
| 28 | GB/US | S | 1.595 | 1.62 | 1.40 | +70 | ||
| 27 | SPX | S | 1120 | 1114 | TBD | +6 | ||
| 22 | SPX | S | 1082 | 1078 | TBD | +4 | ||
| 16 | SPX | S | 1072 | 1063.3 | TBD | +8.7 | ||
| 8 | AU/JP | L | 76.9 | 77.1 | TBD | +0.2 | ||
| 6 | NZ/US | S | 0.70 | 0.716 | TBD | -160 | ||
| 1/7 | SPX | S | 1035 | 1033 | TBD | +2 |
| Jun | Unit | L/S | Entry | Stop | Target | Pips | ||
| 22 | EU/US | S | 1.2345 | 1.2292 | TBD | +53 | ||
| 9 | SPX | L | 1056 | 1063.3 | 1068 | +12 | ||
| 7 | SPX | S | 1071 | 1106 | 1050 | +21 | ||
| 1 | EU/US | L | 1.224 | 1.215 | 1.265 | -90 |
| May | Unit | L/S | Entry | Stop | Target | Pips | ||
| 26 | US/CH | S | 1.158 | 1.165 | TBD | -70 | ||
| 25 | EU/US | L | 1.2275 | 1.226 | 1.28 | -15 | ||
| 21 | EU/US | L | 1.232 | 1.246 | 1.273 | +235 | ||
| 13 | US/JP | S | 93.50 | 90.96 | 82.00 | +254 | ||
| 12 | AU/JP | S | 83.5 | 84 | TBD | +60 | ||
| 11 | EU/US | S | 1.299 | 1.31 | 1.20 | +230 | ||
| 6 | SPX | S | 1160 | 1205 | 1150 | +10 |
| Apr | Unit | L/S | Entry | Stop | Target | Pips | ||
| 29 | NZ/US | S | 0.73 | 0.715 | TBD | +400 | ||
| 23 | AU/US | L | 0.922 | 0.929 | TBD | +70 | ||
| 21 | EU/GB | L | 0.871 | 0.86 | TBD | -110 | ||
| 16 | AU/JP | S | 0.854 | 0.86 | 0.84 | +140 | ||
| 15 | US/CA | L | 0.997 | 1.006 | 1.035 | +90 | ||
| 13 | AU/US | S | 0.930 | 0.9285 | 0.901 | +15 | ||
| 12 | EU/US | S | 1.366 | 1.365 | TBD | +50 | ||
| 10 | EU/US | S | 1.345 | 1.35 | TBD | -50 | ||
| 10 | US/JP | L | 93.20 | 93.315 | 95.50 | +11 | ||
| 9 | US/CA | L | 1.003 | 1.004 | 1.03 | +30 | ||
| 2 | US/JP | S | 94.40 | 95.50 | 92.70 | +100 |
| Mar | Unit | L/S | Entry | Stop | Target | Pips | ||
| 31 | GB/JP | S | 143.50 | 145.50 | 110 | +50 | ||
| 26 | AU/JP | S | 85.45 | 86.25 | TBD | -80 | ||
| 24 | EU/JP | S | 122.65 | 123.20 | 119.80 | -50 | ||
| 18 | CA/JP | S | 89.70 | 88.90 | 83.2 | +80 | ||
| 17 | CA/JP | S | 89.50 | 90.60 | TBD | +30 | ||
| 17 | EU/GB | S | 0.905 | 0.9075 | 0.8980 | +70 | ||
| 11 | GB/US | S | 1.5105 | 1.52 | TBD | -40 | ||
| 8 | US/JP | L | 89.80 | 89.25 | 90.40 | +60 | ||
| 3 | EU/US | S | 1.365 | 1.372 | TBD | -70 | ||
| 2 | EU/US | S | 1.357 | 1.36 | 1.339 | -30 | ||
| 2 | EU/US | L | 1.349 | 1.344 | 1.356 | +70 | ||
| 1 | EU/GB | L | 1.3595 | 1.3575 | TBD | -20 | ||
| 1 | GB/EU | L | 1.4965 | 1.49 | TBD | -65 | ||
| 1 | EU/US | S | 1.3650 | 1.3685 | 1.3595 | +55 |
| Feb | Unit | L/S | Entry | Stop | Target | Pips | ||
| 27 | EU/US | S | 1.366 | 1.372 | 1.3595 | +65 | ||
| 27 | EU/US | L | 1.357 | 1.355 | 1.366 | +90 | ||
| 26 | EU/GB | S | 0.89 | 0.915 | TBD | -250 | ||
| 25 | US/CA | L | 1.055 | 1.052 | 1.065 | +100 | ||
| 23 | AU/US | S | 0.902 | 0.907 | 0.888 | +140 | ||
| 23 | AU/US | L | 0.901 | 0.904 | 0.9125 | +30 | ||
| 21 | EU/GB | S | 0.881 | 0.886 | 0.858 | -50 | ||
| 15 | Gold | S | 1100 | 1125 | TBD | -25 | ||
| 12 | US/JP | S | 90.30 | 91.30 | 87.50 | -100 | ||
| 10 | AU/JP | S | 77.95 | 81.5 | TBD | -355 | ||
| 9 | US/CA | L | 1.071 | 1.025 | TBD | -460 | ||
| 9 | Gold | L | 1066 | 1062 | 1075 | +9 | ||
| 8 | US/CA | S | 1.071 | 1.077 | 1.055 | -60 | ||
| 8 | GB/JP | S | 139.5 | 143 | TBD | -350 | ||
| 8 | EU/GB | S | 0.8775 | 0.8855 | 0.868 | +95 | ||
| 8 | Gold | S | 1075 | 1125 | 1060 | +15 | ||
| 8 | EU/US | L | 1.364 | 1.3685 | 1.3755 | +91 | ||
| 5 | US/JP | S | 90.30 | 90.10 | 88.3 | +20 | ||
| Jan | Unit | L/S | Entry | Stop | Target | Pips | ||
| 29 | EU/GB | L | 0.865 | 0.869 | 0.873 | +80 | ||
| 29 | US/JP | L | 89.7 | 89.20 | 90.45 | +75 | ||
| 25 | US/JP | L | 90 | 89.20 | 90.45 | +45 | ||
| 22 | US/JP | L | 90.15 | 90.15 | TBD | S/O | ||
| 22 | AU/US | S | 0.9135 | 0.918 | 0.903 | +105 | ||
| 21 | US/JP | S | 91.80 | 92.50 | 90.2 | +160 | ||
| 21 | US/JP | L | 91 | 90.3 | 91.8 | +80 | ||
| 19 | AU/US | S | 0.925 | 0.933 | 0.91 | +150 | ||
| 19 | Gold | S | 1138 | 1147 | 1104 | +34 | ||
| 16 | EU/GB | S | 0.887 | 0.903 | TBD | Exp | ||
| 14 | EU/US | S | 1.454 | 1.4447 | TBD | +93 | ||
| 07 | US/JP | S | 93.65 | 93.35 | 92.95 | +30 | ||
| 05 | US/JP | S | 92.5 | 92.5 | 90 | S/O | ||
| 04 | EU/US | S | 1.445 | 1.4485 | 1.41 | -35 | ||
| 04 | AU/US | S | 0.91 | 0.92 | 0.85 | -100 |
N.B. Several people have questioned me about my terrible performance in February. Those losses were due to lack of money management skills, not bad analysis. See my early March postings for a more details about those problems, and what I have been doing to fix them.
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